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More often than not in life, there is a simple explanation. But speculation has a habit of taking flight because of its geheimvatikn appeal.

Such speculation arose due to two reasons. Two, Russian media reported the following day that Moscow would not transfer the advanced S missile defense system to Syria after all.

The Russian-Israeli-Iranian conundrum in Syria – Asia Times

But, consider the following. Moscow was aware that the Israeli attack on May 10 was provoked by a missile attack on the Golan Heights from Syrian territory and that it was in retaliation for the Israeli attack on Syrian bases on April 8, which killed seven Iranian personnel. Simply put, Moscow passively watched dozens of missiles rain back and forth on April 8 and May 10 and had no reason to apportion blame to either side. Its silence was deafening. Quite wisely so, because Russia does not want to get entangled in what should strictly remain a Syrian-Iranian brawl with Israel.


On the other hand, the Russian Defense Ministry carefully monitored that about half of the odd missiles fired by the Israeli jets were shot down on May 10, which of course meant two things. One, the Syrian air defense system is once again proving its mettle — according to the Russian Defense Ministry, the Syrians shot down more than 70 of the missiles fired by the US, UK and France during the April 14 air strike.

Two, stemming from the above, Moscow assesses that any major upgrade of the Syrian air defense system can be put on hold for the present.

Theoretically, such a situation arises if Syria again faces the threat of a Western attack. But there are no signs of such a thing happening in the near-term. Unsurprisingly, the Kremlin came down hard on speculation that its decision not to transfer S missiles to Syria was at the behest of Netanyahu.

And TASS gave a detailed explanation that there never was a concrete decision in the first instance to supply Syria with the Ss and, therefore, the question isarels scrapping any decision simply does not arise.

The point is, the Russians are not one-dimensional men. Russian diplomacy has a great tradition of juggling many balls in the air. Simply put, what Iran can give Moscow, Israel cannot — and vice versa.

Moscow wants good relations with both Iran and Israel, because they serve different purposes in Russian foreign policy. Quite obviously, Russia refuses to share the Israeli perceptions israfls Hezbollah as a terrorist group. If anything, the results of the May 6 election in Lebanon would only reinforce the Russian belief that Hezbollah is a legitimate political force to be reckoned with.


Clearly, in these complex circumstances, it is unrealistic ggeheimvatikan expect Russia to be party to any Israeli agenda to vanquish the Iranian and Hezbollah presence on Syrian territory. Thus, while Russia criticized Israel for its April 8 missile attacks on Syria, which triggered the present action-reaction syndrome, by calling it a dangerous move, it refused to get excited about either geheimvatikkan retaliatory missile attack on Israel from Syria on May 10 or the swift Israeli counter-attack on Syria soon after.

The Russian-Israeli-Iranian conundrum in Syria

But the contradiction goes beyond this. The point is, Russia also has a congruence of interests with Damascus and Tehran in preserving the unity of Syria and in strengthening its national sovereignty. It follows logically that Russia will help the Syrian armed forces to develop the geheimvattikan to stabilize the situation within that country.

Perhaps, this is already happening and Moscow must be aware of it too while making the considered assessment that at present there is no requirement to dispatch S missiles to Syria. Suffice to say, the Kremlin readout of the conversation between Putin and Netanyahu in Moscow on May 9 takes the breath away. grheimvatikan

This is Russian diplomacy at its best in israrls trying times. Bhadrakumar May 15, Must-reads from across Asia – directly to your inbox. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it.